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Wednesday, November 07, 2007

But Wait, There's More...

Ok, there's a twist to this tiebreaker thing. Miss St. could actually be the key.

Assume a 3-way tie between LSU, Bama orAuburn, and Ark at 5-3. The round-robin (first 3-way tiebreaker) winds up 1-1.

The second tiebreaker is Division records. This is where it gets interesting.

Assume a 3 way tie involving LSU, Auburn, and Arkansas all at 5-3. This would mean that Alabama loses out to finish 4-4, and Auburn lost to Georgia but beat Bama.

Divisional records would still be tied at 3-2 for LSU, AU, and Ark.

So, on to the third tiebreaker, which I'll call for clarity purposes "your team's record against the 'Measuring Stick' team" (the team with best conf. record other than the tied teams). That team would be Bama . . . or Miss. State, assuming Miss. State wins every game left for them other than at Ark. But Miss St would have beaten Bama head-to-head, and therefore, the "Measuring Stick" team would be Miss. St.

Guess what the records are against Miss. State: LSU 1-0, AU 0-1, Ark. 1-0. AU is out, moves to two-way breaker, which is head to head, and . . .

wait for it . . .

Ark. wins, having beaten LSU head to head.

The crazyness isn't over yet:

Now, assume a three-way tie between LSU, Bama, and Ark. at 5-3. This would mean Auburn loses out and Bama loses to Miss St. but beats Auburn.

Round robin is even.

Divisional records are even at 3-2.

Once again, to the "Measuring Stick" tiebreaker...and again, the Measuring Stick is Miss. St. based upon their head-to-head win against Auburn.

LSU is 1-0, Bama is 0-1, Ark is 1-0, so Bama is out, and head to head between LSU-Ark = Ark to Atlanta.

Now, I'll be the first to acknowledge that the probabilities here are about twenty trillion to one. But, pending verifying research by the accounting firm of Ernst and Young, I think there is a slim mathematical possibility we can still go to the championship game.

Go MS State, beat Bama! (PW's DEEP, DEEP, sleeper pick, by the way).

4 comments:

Johnny Fayetteville said...

So if Ole Miss beats LSU . . .
Arkansas wins out . . .
Auburn loses to Georgia . . .
Bama loses to Auburn . . .
State beats Bama . . .

Arkansas could go to Atlanta?

My head hurts.

Johnny Fayetteville said...

I know it's ridiculous, but really the only thing that is completely ridiculous is Ole Miss beating LSU. Everything else could totally happen.

RazorPod said...

Unless Im not reading that tie breaker right-you are correct.

Its crazy, but I think everyone's just assuming its impossible.

Go Orgeron! Go Croom. Yay Mississippi!

Arkytam said...

It would kill me to go to Atlanta so that we can be slaughtered on national t.v.